#retail
Home Depot (HD): bull, base, bear to 2031 across 6mo to 5yr horizons
Home Depot stock forecast: bear, base, bull across 6 months, 1 year, 3 years, 5 years. Hold - premium valuation, stalled comps, paused buyback awaiting housing recovery.
Costco (COST) stock forecast: Hold at ~48x - the membership compounder's bear, base, and bull case to 2031
COST stock: Hold at ~48x, 28% above its 10-year median. Bear/base/bull across 6 months, 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years on the membership model and de-rate risk.
Walmart stock (WMT): is 41x earnings too rich for a grocery retailer, and what the ads-and-membership engine is really worth - 6 months to 5 years
Is WMT a buy near $117? Bull/base/bear for 6 months, 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years: the grocery base, ads-and-membership overlay, and the 41x valuation crux. Hold.